Play Now <br> <a href="https://picks.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament/bracket" class="">Men's Brackets</a> <br> Play Now <br> <a href="https://picks.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaaw-tournament/bracket" class="">Women's Brackets</a> <br> <a href="/podcasts/the-early-edge-a-daily-sportsline-betting-podcast/" class="">A Daily SportsLine Betting Podcast</a> <br> <a href="/podcasts/fantasy-football-today-podcast/" class="">NFL Draft recap</a> <br>Golfers such as Max Homa, Tony Finau, Viktor Hovland and Rickie Fowler all have notched six wins on the PGA Tour in their careers. What the foursome also has in common is that none of those six victories has come in majors. Can one of them end that drought at the 2024 PGA Championship, which starts on Thursday from Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville? Scottie Scheffler is the 3-1 favorite, according to the latest 2024 PGA Championship odds, followed by Rory McIlroy (6-1), Brooks Koepka (10-1), Xander Schauffele (12-1), and Ludvig Aberg (12-1).<br>Which golfers should you target with your 2024 PGA Championship picks? Before locking in any 2024 PGA Championship picks of your own, entering PGA DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings or FanDuel, or finalizing PGA Championship props and PGA Championship Pick Six entries, be sure to <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">see the 2024 PGA Championship golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine</a>.<br>Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.<br>McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.<br>The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.<br>In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.<br>This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.<br>Now with the PGA Championship 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard</a>.<br>One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 PGA Championship: Brooks Koepka, a three-time PGA champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top 10. Koepka has five major tournament wins on his resume and a reputation for elevating his level of play in big events. However, his last two major starts haven't gone well as he was 45th at the Masters, which followed a 64th-place finish at last year's Open Championship. He's failed to shoot par in each of his last seven rounds at major tournaments.<br>After notching three tournament wins in 2023, including last year's PGA Championship, it has been tough sledding for Koepka in 2024. He has no victories, or even top-fives, and across his six starts, he has three times as many finishes outside the top 25 (three) as he has inside the top 10 (one). He played Valhalla at the 2014 PGA Championship and finished in a tie for 15th place, but that placement ranks just eighth out of his 11 career PGA Championship starts. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">See who else to fade here</a>.<br>Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Some golfers have earned a reputation for elevating their level of play in majors, and Morikawa is one of them. Over his last 15 major championship starts, he has more finishes inside the top 10 (eight) than outside (seven). That includes being the 2020 PGA champion and then following that up with an eighth-place finish at the 2021 event.<br>This season, five of his six top-25s, including all three of his top-10s, have come in signature tournaments or majors. With his metrics backing up his results, as he ranks in the top 15 in driving accuracy percentage, overall putting average and birdie average, Morikawa checks many of the boxes you want in a longshot for PGA Championship 2024 bets. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">See who else to back here</a>.<br>The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">You can only see the model's picks here</a>.<br><strong>Who will win the 2024 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the PGA Championship 2024 odds below and then <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">visit SportsLine to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters</a>.</strong><br><a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2024-pga-championship-odds-picks-proven-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-pga-golf-predictions/#ttag=04152024_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipleaderboard" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get full 2024 PGA Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here</a><br>Scottie Scheffler +300<br>Rory McIlroy +600<br>Brooks Koepka +1000<br>Xander Schauffele +1200<br>Ludvig Aberg +1200<br>Jon Rahm +1400<br>Joaquin Niemann +2500<br>Collin Morikawa +2500<br>Bryson DeChambeau +2500<br>Wyndham Clark +2500<br>Patrick Cantlay +2800<br>Cameron Smith +3300<br>Max Homa +3300<br>Viktor Hovland +3500<br>Hideki Matsuyama +3500<br>Will Zalatoris +4000<br>Justin Thomas +4000<br>Tommy Fleetwood +4500<br>Dustin Johnson +4500<br>Cameron Young +5000<br>Jason Day +5000<br>Matt Fitzpatrick +5000<br>Tyrrell Hatton +5000<br>Jordan Spieth +5500<br>Tony Finau +5500<br>Patrick Reed +6000<br>Byeong Hun An +6000<br>Sam Burns +6000<br>Shane Lowry +6000<br>Tom Kim +6000<br>Sungjae Im +6500<br>Dean Burmester +6500<br>Sahith Theegala +6500<br>Abraham Ancer +7000<br>Min Woo Lee +7500<br>Brian Harman +7500<br>Talor Gooch +8000<br>Keegan Bradley +8500<br>Akshay Bhatia +8500<br>Russell Henley +8500<br>Adam Scott +8500<br>Sepp Straka +8500<br>Si Woo Kim +9000<br>Tiger Woods +12500<br>David Puig +12500<br>Corey Conners +12500<br>Rickie Fowler +12500<br>Stephan Jaeger +12500<br>Denny McCarthy +12500<br>Phil Mickelson +12500<br>Jake Knapp +12500<br>Chris Kirk +12500<br>Billy Horschel +12500<br>Sergio Garcia +12500<br>Taylor Pendrith +12500<br>Adrian Meronk +12500<br>Austin Eckroat +15000<br>Mackenzie Hughes +15000<br>Alex Noren +15000<br>Harris English +15000<br>Matthieu Pavon +15000<br>Ryan Fox +15000<br>Adrian Otaegui +15000<br>Justin Rose +17500<br>Adam Schenk +17500<br>Keith Mitchell +17500<br>Mito Pereira +17500<br>Kurt Kitayama +17500<br>Daniel Berger +17500<br>Christiaan Bezuidenhout +17500<br>Emiliano Grillo +17500<br>Lucas Herbert +17500<br>Tom Hoge +17500<br>Victor Perez +17500<br>Erik Van Rooyen +17500<br>Lucas Glover +17500<br>Nicolai Hojgaard +20000<br>Eric Cole +20000<br>Jordan Smith +20000<br>Thomas Pieters +20000<br>J.T. Poston +20000<br>Thomas Detry +22500<br>Ryan Van Velzen +22500<br>Cam Davis +22500<br>Thriston Lawrence +22500<br>Beau Hossler +22500<br>Aaron Rai +22500<br>Ben Griffin +22500<br>Nick Taylor +22500<br>Alex Smalley +22500<br>Brendon Todd +25000<br>Maverick McNealy +25000<br>Luke List +25000<br>Nick Dunlap +25000<br>Davis Riley +25000<br>Adam Hadwin +25000<br>Marc Leishman +25000<br>Seamus Power +25000<br>Ryo Hisatsune +27500<br>Matt Wallace +27500<br>Andrew Putnam +27500<br>Andy Ogletree +27500<br>Patrick Rodgers +30000<br>Doug Ghim +30000<br>Taylor Moore +30000<br>Sebastian Soderberg +30000<br>Adam Svensson +30000<br>Rasmus Hojgaard +30000<br>Robert MacIntyre +30000<br>Gary Woodland +30000<br>Lee Hodges +30000<br>Ben Kohles +30000<br>K.H. Lee +30000<br>Camillo Villegas +35000<br>Alejandro Tosti +35000<br>Taylor Montgomery +35000<br>Vincent Norrman +35000<br>Jesper Svensson +35000<br>Tim Widing +35000<br>Charley Hoffman +40000<br>Mark Hubbard +40000<br>Keita Nakajima +40000<br>Zac Blair +50000<br>Francisco Molinari +50000<br>Joel Dahmen +50000<br>Peter Malnati +50000<br>Sami Valimaki +50000<br>Takumi Kanaya +50000<br>Grayson Murray +50000<br>Alexander Bjork +50000<br>Martin Kaymer +75000<br>Kazuma Kobori +75000<br>Brice Garnett +75000<br>Michael Block +75000<br>Padraig Harrington +75000<br>Luke Donald +75000<br>Jimmy Walker +75000<br>Y.E. Yang +100000<br>Jason Dufner +100000<br>John Daly +150000<br>Wyatt Worthington IV +150000<br>Tyler Collet +200000<br>Matt Dobyns +200000<br>Josh Speight +200000<br>Braden Shattuk +200000<br>Brad Marek +200000<br>Tracy Phillips +200000<br>Evan Bowser +200000<br>Josh Bevell +200000<br>Larkin Gross +200000<br>Rich Beem +200000<br>Zac Oakley +200000<br>Jeremy Wells +200000<br>Preston Cole +200000<br>John Somers +200000<br>Ben Polland +200000<br>Kyle Mendoza +200000<br>Jared Jones +200000<br>Shaun Micheel +200000<br>Jeff Kellen +200000<br>Jesse Mueller +200000<br>Andy Svoboda +200000<br>© 2004-2024 CBS Interactive. All Rights Reserved.<br>CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc.<br>Images by Getty Images and US Presswire<br><br><a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFodHRwczovL3d3dy5jYnNzcG9ydHMuY29tL2dvbGYvbmV3cy8yMDI0LXBnYS1jaGFtcGlvbnNoaXAtb2Rkcy1maWVsZC1zdXJwcmlzaW5nLXBnYS1waWNrcy1mcm9tLXByb3Zlbi1nb2xmLW1vZGVsLXRoYXQtaGFzLWNhbGxlZC0xMS1tYWpvcnMv0gGPAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmNic3Nwb3J0cy5jb20vZ29sZi9uZXdzLzIwMjQtcGdhLWNoYW1waW9uc2hpcC1vZGRzLWZpZWxkLXN1cnByaXNpbmctcGdhLXBpY2tzLWZyb20tcHJvdmVuLWdvbGYtbW9kZWwtdGhhdC1oYXMtY2FsbGVkLTExLW1ham9ycy9hbXAv?oc=5">source</a>